Many
feel that the military emphasizes risk mitigation instead of audacious action. It is hard to argue with the importance of
safety, but in combat audacity can save lives.
A World War I case study from the British Navy in the Dardanelles demonstrates
the risks of being risk averse.
On March
18, 1915 Vice Admiral John De Robeck led the Allied fleet that attacked the
Narrows of the Dardanelles. The mission
was to seize control of the Dardanelles from the Turks to reopen the straights
to Allied naval traffic. In the first
day of the attack, one Allied ship sank suddenly and three more were
damaged. Believing the Turks were
floating mines with the current, De Robeck pulled back the fleet, and was
personally despondent at the losses, worrying about his future career. In the coming days, he decided that the Navy
would not proceed with the attack without a corresponding Army operation. This decision delayed the attack by
weeks.
Fearing
the relatively small risks of an audacious attack on the straights cost the
British Navy a chance for a huge strategic victory and a chance to expedite the
end of the war. William Manchester recounts
in “The Last Lion: Visions of Glory” – the first of three volumes of a
biography of Winston Churchill –
After
the war the Turkish general staff declared that “a naval attack executed with rapidity
and vigor’ would have found the capital’s garrison ‘impotent to defend it,” and
Ever Pasha, Turkey’s wartime military dictator, added: “If the English had only
had the courage to rush more ships through the Dardanelles they could have got
to Constantinople.” (Page 542)
Manchester
later quotes British Commodore Roger Keyes as saying “because we didn’t try [to
continue the attack], another million lives were thrown away and the war went
on for another three years.”
I
continue to think about what causes our culture of risk aversion and what we
can do to develop a bias toward audacity in junior leaders.
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